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IT'S HERE!!! Welcome to the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Forty-eight of the world's greatest footballing nations from six continents have arrived in the United States, Mexico, and Canada to play for the next month and a half to claim the elusive World Cup trophy.


This is already guaranteed to be a historic and memorable World Cup, and there will certainly be more moments that add to the excitement as the tournament plays out. This is Messi and Ronaldo's last dance. This is the first World Cup with forty-eight teams. This is the first World Cup featuring Jordan, Uzbekistan, Cape Verde, or Curaçao, who will break the record for the least populated nation to play a World Cup match when they step on the pitch for their opener on June 14. This is the first World Cup to be hosted by three nations. The Estadio Azteca in Mexico will not only become the first stadium in history to host matches in three World Cups but the first to host three opening matches.


There is so much to cover from the last four years, from the moment Gonzalo Montiel buried the winning penalty in the 2022 World Cup through the friendlies that are still to be played in preparation for this year's tournament. We'll go through group-by-group and match-by-match through the entire World Cup, predicting the results along the way as we ready for the world's biggest sporting competition to kick off on June 11.


GROUP A

This group promises to be one of the most fascinating at this year's World Cup. Mexico have home-field advantage for all three matches in the Group Stage, but the national team is in turmoil with a new manager being appointed just a month ago. Czechia qualified through the UEFA playoffs but failed to win either playoff game and also recently got a new manager. South Korea starred in Asian World Cup qualifiers but have had some recent disastrous results. South Africa has a chance to shock the world but there are concerns over the talent of a team made of almost entirely domestic league players.


Mexico 1, South Africa 1 - Well, after 16 years, there is still nothing to decide these two teams in yet another World Cup opener. Mamelodi Sundowns played with fire and attacking prowess at the Club World Cup a year ago, and if that's what the South African League has overall, South Africa has a chance at this World Cup and they prove it here.


Czechia 0, South Korea 0 - This is a bold pick from me, not by the result, but on the score. South Korea may very well leak goals this tournament and have a much better attack, and the same is true about Czechia demonstrated by their World Cup qualifying. But I think they will somehow cancel each other out. Double-draws on Day 1.


Czechia 2, South Africa 1 - Czechia just sneak out a huge win over South Africa to move to second in the group.


Mexico 2, South Korea 0 - Despite the attacking prowess, South Korea are still goalless after two matches, and the homefield advantage along with the talent advantage carry Mexico to the top of the group after two matchdays.


South Africa 1, South Korea 1 - Both teams very likely needed a win, but it could not come for either side. Almost certainly an end for both teams' tournaments.


Mexico 3, Czechia 1 - Mexico get the job done at home to secure the top of the group, and Czechia will be dissapointed but ultimately satisfied with a second-place finish and a fixture against the runners-up of Group B.


Final Table:

  1. Mexico 7 (+4)

  2. Czechia 4 (-1)

  3. South Africa 2 (-1)

  4. South Korea 2 (-2)


GROUP B

This Group has a much more competitive ceiling and a much lower floor in level. Qatar is once again slated to be one of the worst teams at this year's World Cup, though they did qualify through Asia instead of as hosts; however, they have been terrible in form with no wins in their last five games and with only one of those clashes being against a World Cup side (0-3 to Tunisia). Canada has yet to win a World Cup game in their history but this is definitely the opportunity; led by Alphonso Davies and Jonathan David, Canada will defend spectacularly in this group and need to figure out a way to score goals. Bosnia and Herzegovina was the latest team to knock Italy out of World Cup qualification, but recent friendly draws against weaker sides are not encouraging. Lastly are the group favorites Switzerland, who despite being led by an older core, have developed into one of the tournament's most overlooked squads.


Canada 1, Bosnia and Herzegovina 1 - Yes, the first three games of this year's World Cup will be draws if my predictions come to fruition. I think once Canada gets over the hump of their first World Cup win, they can take advantage of these sides in weaker form, but Bosnia can definitely fight Canada in fan spirit and talent on the pitch.


Switzerland 4, Qatar 0 - A huge result from the Swiss to open up their World Cup campaign and record the largest win of the tournament thus far. Qatar is very weak and in terrible form and a strong Swiss squad can definitely take advantage.


Switzerland 2, Bosnia and Herzegovina 0 - A Switzerland team led by Granit Xhaka will be very difficult to score on, and Bosnia won't be able to.


Canada 1, Qatar 0 - It's close, but Canada finally get over the hump to get their World Cup win. It's a huge milestone for the nation and could fuel something bigger.


Switzerland 2, Canada 2 - Neither team is very prone to scoring goals, but both teams have enough to score them. Canada shock Switzerland after registering their first World Cup win and secure second in the group.


Bosnia and Herzegovina 2, Qatar 1 - Qatar do get their second ever World Cup goal and almost their first ever point before Edin Džeko rescues his nation in stoppage time.


Final Table:

  1. Switzerland 7 (+6)

  2. Canada 5 (+1)

  3. Bosnia and Herzegovina 4 (-1)

  4. Qatar 0 (-6)


GROUP C

The first group that features a true top tier squad, in fact two, is Group C. Brazil are one of the overlooked favorites to win the whole tournament led by Raphinha and Vinicius Jr., but will have to look past a difficult World Cup qualifying campaign to progress far in the tournament. Morocco are defending World Cup semifinalists and AFCON champions (officially I guess) and look to make another deep run. Scotland qualified for their first World Cup in 28 years and ninth overall but have yet to make it out of the group stage of any of their previous twelve major tournament appearances; can Scott McTominay and co. finally bring Scotland to the knockouts? Haiti haven't been to a World Cup since 1974 and face a very tough group, but with an inspiring performance in the final World Cup qualifying window, they will be hoping to shock one of the footballing giants.


Brazil 1, Morocco 0 - Brazil need to attack down the left side in hopes of a goal due to Hakimi's presence on the right. Morocco's best hope is a defensive battle, but Brazil has too much talent and firepower to be held off by Morocco for a full 90 minutes.


Scotland 3, Haiti 1 - A much more goal-heavy game sees the Scots come out on top and take a big step towards getting out of a group for the first time.


Scotland 2, Morocco 2 - A huge result for Scotland and a shocker for Morocco. McTominay scores a wondergoal to save the Scots and force a stalemate, almost guaranteeing his side a spot in the knockouts after two matchdays.


Brazil 5, Haiti 2 - Brazil's defense can be worrisome, but they will destroy Haiti's. Neymar is back on the pitch for this one and gets his first goal contribution as Brazil secures the knockouts.


Morocco 2, Haiti 0 - Morocco does enough to keep themselves in the hunt for the knockouts with a solid and clean win over Haiti.


Brazil 2, Scotland 1 - Brazil become the first team to finish on nine points in the group stage by finishing off with a win over Scotland, forcing the Scots onto the same points as Morocco and a second place finish on goals scored.


Final Table:

  1. Brazil 9 (+5)

  2. Scotland 4 (+1)

  3. Morocco 4 (+1)

  4. Haiti 0 (-7)


GROUP D

Group D has a case for being the closest overall in the tournament, with all four teams almost inseparable in talent and performance. Turkey with up-and-comers Arda Güler and Kenin Yildiz are poised for loads of goals in the attack, but as with Euro 2024, defense is a question looming over the national team. Paraguay is extremely underrated heading into the tournament after a strong World Cup qualifying campaign in which they finished level on points with Colombia, Uruguay, and Brazil. The United States comes into this World Cup with home field advantage but the pressure of expectations, and the lack of American goalkeeper talent and questions in the attack make the U.S. prone to embarrassment like in Copa America 2024. Australia is being written off by many despite beating Denmark and almost Argentina in a run to the Round of 16 in the 2022 World Cup, but the friendly results have been very mixed.


Paraguay 2, United States 0 - The United States flashes-back to the 2024 Copa America defeat to Panama with a bad group stage loss on home soil to a team of similar quality to themselves. Paraguay proves they belong on the big stage and take the first step forward in Group D.


Australia 1, Turkey 1 - Underdogs Australia stun overall group favorites Turkey with an excellent performance to keep themselves in Group D. Advantage, Paraguay.


Australia 1, United States 0 - The United States again underrate their opponents and fall to group underdogs Australia to put themselves in a precarious situation headed into the final matchday.


Turkey 3, Paraguay 1 - The firepower comes out for Turkey as their young stars get on the scoresheet in a big win over Paraguay to take co-control over the group with Australia.


Paraguay 1, Australia 1 - It's a dissapointing result for both teams but especially Paraguay who have to wait to see if they make the knockouts in third place.


United States 0, Turkey 0 - Turkey is held by the United States as the Americans bow out with their only dissapointing point in the group finale. Turkey still advances automatically with five points.


Final Table:

  1. Turkey 5 (+2)

  2. Australia 5 (+1)

  3. Paraguay 4 (0)

  4. United States 1 (-3)


GROUP E

Welcome to Group E, where three teams will be defending like crazy and one team will be leaking goals. Germany is the clear favorite to top the group but have lost at this stage in the past two World Cups. Ecuador is being pinned as a major dark horse after allowing only five goals in World Cup qualifiers and is poised to challenge for the top of the group. Ivory Coast allowed zero, yes you saw that right, goals in World Cup qualifiers en route to a first appearance since 2014 and the 2023 AFCON champions are hoping to shock the world. Curaçao has arguably the toughest road ahead of them in the entire tournament as the smallest population to ever play at a World Cup and one of the debutants, but a team almost entirely from the Netherlands could pose a threat to one of their group foes.


Germany 3, Curaçao 0 - This is going to be a wake up call that could be much worse for Curaçao. It was a huge accomplishment to make it here, but Germany and the World Cup as a whole are much too good on Matchday 1 for the island territory.


Ivory Coast 0, Ecuador 0 - Surprising absolutely nobody, Ivory Coast and Ecuador battle to a goalless draw. No offense in this one as expected.


Ivory Coast 2, Germany 1 - These two defenses may be among the best in the world, but both attacks are almost as good. Ivory Coast stuns Germany to put their knockout hopes in jeapordy but a last minute goal could save Germany's goal differential.


Ecuador 1, Curaçao 0 - It's close for Curaçao in this one but Ecuador squeaks it out against the group bottom-feeders to pretty much send them home all but mathematically.


Ivory Coast 3, Curaçao 0 - Curaçao go goalless in the group and the Ivory Coast shows they are the true dark horse to come out of this group by topping it on the final matchday.


Germany 0, Ecuador 0 - Germany keep themselves alive and in a much better position with a goalless draw with Ecuador that robs the South Americans of first in the group.


Final Table:

  1. Ivory Coast 6 (+4)

  2. Ecuador 5 (+1)

  3. Germany 4 (+2)

  4. Curaçao 0 (-7)


GROUP F

This is an absolutely fascinating group with four talented teams. The Netherlands are one of the best teams in the world but come into the World Cup on bad form and after a slightly rocky time in World Cup qualification against Poland. Japan are being flagged as one of the world's most dangerous teams to watch for this summer but are plagued by the injuries of Minamino and Mitoma in the attack. Sweden are the most mystifying team in the entire tournament; they didn't win a single game in the group phase of World Cup qualifiers but handled Ukraine and then Poland to advance to the World Cup through the playoffs, so which version of a star-studded Sweden will we get? Tunisia is the obvious team at the bottom but Tunisia took out Denmark at the last World Cup and could shock similarly again.


Netherlands 2, Japan 1 - The group favorites take care of business against a threatening Japan and take the advantage in Group F. Japan need to recover.


Sweden 1, Tunisia 1 - A huge result for Tunisia and it appears Sweden have not woken up on the right side of the bed for this window of matches. They need to recover.


Sweden 2, Netherlands 0 - Sweden with a massive result to get themselves back on track as Isak strikes the Scandanavians above the Netherlands to the top of the group.


Japan 2, Tunisia 0 - Japan take care of business to get their World Cup campaign back on track. This will all come down to a precarious final matchday in Group F.


Netherlands 3, Tunisia 1 - It's a dissapointing end to the campaign for Tunisia after a great start to the group stage but Netherlands secure their spot in the knockouts with a big win.


Sweden 1, Japan 0 - Japan's lack of attacking starpower due to injuries comes to haunt them as they take the loss to group winners Sweden on the final matchday and await the third place table to be finalized.


Final Table:

  1. Sweden 7 (+3)

  2. Netherlands 6 (+1)

  3. Japan 3 (0)

  4. Tunisia 1 (-4)


GROUP G

The most wide open group to three teams that have never been to the knockouts of the World Cup is Group G. Belgium are the group heavyweights but there are doubts about the end of the golden generation for a team that is in good form but struggled in qualifiers. Iran are the second-best team in the group but have political issues to worry about when attempting to play in the United States and will have a lot of travel miles. This is arguably Egypt's last hope for a while at finally winning a World Cup match as Mo Salah's career begins to decline. New Zealand has finally brought a team from Oceania back to the World Cup but face an uphill battle to get out of Group G in their first tournament appearance since 2010.


Belgium 1, Egypt 1 - Egypt can't quite get their first ever World Cup win but they open the tournament with a big result against a dissapointing Belgium who will need to recover to top the group.


New Zealand 2, Iran 2 - It's a high-scoring draw that keeps everything level at a point each after one matchday in Group G. Iran will need better results to keep themselves afloat and alive for the knockouts.


Belgium 3, Iran 0 - Belgium puts in a much better performance to take hold of the group and Iran will need to beat Egypt to stand any chance for the knockouts.


Egypt 3, New Zealand 1 - An excellent performance for a well-deserved first World Cup win for Mo Salah and co. to take Egypt to second in the group.


Belgium 2, New Zealand 0 - Belgium get another very solid defensive win to officially knock out New Zealand and internet sensation Tim Payne.


Iran 0, Egypt 0 - Iran needed a win and could not get it against an Egypt side that will be very satisfied with going undefeated in the group stage and with a second place.


Final Table:

  1. Belgium 7 (+5)

  2. Egypt 5 (+2)

  3. Iran 2 (-3)

  4. New Zealand 1 (-4)


GROUP H

This SHOULD be the most straightforward group of this entire World Cup. We have the clear favorites Spain who are co-favorites to win the entire tournament and are coming off of a Euro 2024 title. We have a very strong Uruguay who look much stronger than their group stage exit squad from the 2022 tournament and should be ready for the knockouts. We have a Saudi Arabia team who has significant instability of a new Greek manager just weeks before the World Cup and has been terrible in friendlies other than a draw with Senegal. We have Cape Verde who were absolutely clinical in African World Cup qualifiers but are making their debut at the World Cup.


Spain 3, Cape Verde 1 - It's really unfortunate but also a blessing in disguise for the minnows of the tournament to come up against tournament favorites in matchday one. Spain will take care of business against Cape Verde who will gain valuable experience for more important matches.


Uruguay 5, Saudi Arabia 0 - These two played at the 2018 World Cup in Group A but Saudi Arabia will be no threat at this tournament. No opening shocker from Saudi this time and Uruguay will comfortably take control of the group after one match.


Spain 2, Saudi Arabia 0 - Spain continues to keep things close against the group minnows and will likely need a win against Uruguay on matchday three to top Group H.


Uruguay 1, Cape Verde 0 - Uruguay with a stoppage time winner to break Cape Verde's hearts! Uruguay get their act together against a stronger team and keep control over their own destiny heading into the clash against Spain.


Cape Verde 3, Saudi Arabia 2 - A huge win and a contender for match of the tournament as Cape Verde secures their first World Cup win on debut and puts themselves in contention to qualify for the knockouts.


Spain 2, Uruguay 0 - Spain handle Uruguay with conviction to top the only group thus far without a single draw. Uruguay have to be happy with second after failing to get out of their group in 2022.


Final Table:

  1. Spain 9 (+6)

  2. Uruguay 6 (+4)

  3. Cape Verde 3 (-2)

  4. Saudi Arabia 0 (-8)


GROUP I

The group of death has arrived. France is the other co-favorites to win the entire tournament after reaching the semifinals of Euro 2024, and Norway is the most popular pick to be the dark horse of the tournament after a great display in World Cup qualification. Senegal are the reigning AFCON champions (I guess) after winning the tournament on the pitch but have been in a run of recent poor form, and Iraq is...well...there. We truly will see what will happen as there's not much to say. Four teams, three contenders, six games, one group winner.


France 1, Senegal 0 - France take care of business in game number one. Senegal have to be proud of themselves for putting up such a great fight but dissapointed they couldn't get it done or earn any points.


Norway 3, Iraq 0 - It's a masterclass from Norway on both ends of the pitch as they top the table after one matchday, and Iraq may be in over their heads in Group I.


France 4, Iraq 1 - France absolutely thrashes Iraq to get back in control of Group I, and Iraq's World Cup dreams almost certainly have to be demolished after back-to-back three goal losses.


Norway 3, Senegal 2 - Norway win again to tie France at the top of the table on six points, and Senegal must win against Iraq to keep themselves in knockout contention in the third-place table.


France 4, Norway 3 - The true game of the group stage unfolds on matchday three in Group I as France completes the three-game sweep to top the table and Norway finishes close behind in second.


Senegal 0, Iraq 0 - Pure dissapointment from both sides, but more especially Senegal, as they see their World Cup dreams pretty much come to an end with only a single point in Group I.


Final Table:

  1. France 9 (+5)

  2. Norway 6 (+3)

  3. Senegal 1 (-2)

  4. Iraq 1 (-6)


GROUP J

The group of the "A" teams and debutants Jordan, where two squads will hope to challenge and shock Argentina. The defending World Cup winners sit in Group I after also taking home to title at Copa America 2024 and have regained their spot at #1 in the world with five straight friendly wins. Austria have to be full of confidence under Ralf Ragnick as despite a Round of 16 loss to Turkey, the Austrians topped their Euro 2024 group over France, Netherlands, and Poland. Algeria has quietly stepped up their form with a win over the Netherlands and a draw with Uruguay to back up an AFCON 2025 quarterfinal run. Jordan appear to be the team that is just happy to be here but have also had an incredible rise of their own including a great World Cup qualifying campaign and an AFC Cup 2025 trip to the final where they ultimately lost to Qatar.


Argentina 1, Algeria 1 - Algeria stun Argentina to begin their World Cup campaign leaving the African outfit ready to


Austria 2, Jordan 1 - Jordan get to score their first ever World Cup goal in their first ever World Cup match but it is unfortunately not enough as Austria take the first win of Group J.


Argentina 1, Austria 0 - Argentina does very well to score on and then defend against a tough Austrian side that will be hungry for another point to secure the knockouts on matchday three.


Algeria 0, Jordan 0 - Jordan do what it takes to get their first ever World Cup point with a solid nil-nil draw against Algeria who need a point on matchday three against Austria


Algeria 1, Austria 1 - It's yet another draw for Algeria who now finish Group J with three draws which should be just enough to get to the knockouts. Austria have to be satisfied with at least second.


Argentina 3, Jordan 0 - In the co-last match of the group stage, Argentina handily takes care of business and knocks out Jordan to finish Group J at the top and undefeated.


Final Table:

  1. Argentina 7 (+4)

  2. Austria 4 (0)

  3. Algeria 3 (0)

  4. Jordan 1 (-4)


GROUP K

This is a group with a clear top two and a clear bottom two on paper. Portugal are the reigning UEFA Nations League champions and easily topped their World Cup qualifying group undefeated, but are plagued by injuries and the playing time of an age-old Ronaldo. Colombia struggle for star power but are led by James Rodriguez who is a different kind of player for his national team and are primed for a run. DR Congo are competing at the World Cup for the first time ever under their current name and first time since 1974 when they competed as Zaire and looked clean in a win over Jamaica in the Intercontinental Playoffs. Uzbekistan have been on the rise in the footballing world with a quarterfinal appearance at the AFC Asian Cup in which they lost on penalties to the eventual champion and starred in World Cup qualifiers finishing just behind Iran.


Portugal 1, DR Congo 0 - The Portuguese take care of business in their first match against a weak-looking DR Congo side but will need to be wary of the other two teams in the group.


Colombia 2, Uzbekistan 0 - Colombia also do what they need to in a clean win over debutants Uzbekistan who need to shake the nerves out in time for their huge match against DR Congo.


Colombia 3, DR Congo 0 - The South American side do what they need to do with another clean win over a DR Congo that desperately needs to find a way to score goals.


Portugal 2, Uzbekistan 1 - Uzbekistan can't do enough and will need to win their final match as they fall in a close battle to Portugal who should be clear into the knockouts.


Colombia 0, Portugal 0 - A close defensive battle ends goalless as Colombia and Portugal share the points and the top of the table as the group stage comes to a close.


Uzbekistan 2, DR Congo 1 - It's just enough for Uzbekistan who put themselves in third on three points and wait for the third place table to be finalized, eliminating DR Congo who finally get their World Cup goal but it's too little too late.


Final Table:

  1. Colombia 7 (+5)

  2. Portugal 7 (+2)

  3. Uzbekistan 3 (-2)

  4. DR Congo 0 (-5)


GROUP L

The final group is Group L, where once more two favorites clash with two underdogs. England have a very good shot to finally bring the World Cup home under manager Tuchel who has brought inspiration to a talented squad, but they will need to be able to win under pressure against the best teams in close matches to take home the trophy, something they've failed to do since 1966. Croatia are reaching the end of the golden age that has brough them silver and bronze at the World Cup in successive tournaments, and this is the final opportunity for gold for a team that has been relatively good in friendlies and has an incredible midfield. Ghana have really struggled since the 2022 World Cup, getting grouped by a stoppage time mishap in AFCON 2023 and missing AFCON 2025, but they did manage to get their act together to limp over the finish line and qualify for this tournament in a weak qualifying group. Panama are back at the World Cup after failing to qualify for the 2022 edition but are looking better than ever after a run to the quarterfinals of Copa America 2024 and good results against Bosnia and South Africa in recent friendlies.


England 2, Croatia 0 - A fresh and trained England handle an aging Croatia that has its work cut out to take a big step forward in Group L.


Panama 3, Ghana 1 - It's a huge result that Panama truly needed to be in contention for the knockouts as they put Ghana in a very precarious situation in the race to qualify for the knockout stage.


England 2, Ghana 0 - England again put up a very clean result to almost certainly qualify for the next stage and put Ghana on the verge of being knocked out of the tournament.


Croatia 2, Panama 2 - The North American underdogs pull off the result they truly needed against a flailing Croatia to give themselves a fighting chance at automatic qualification headed into a final day showdown with England.


England 3, Panama 2 - It's an absolute masterclass from a surging Panama that is just ruined by England's late goal that allows them to top Group L over either Panama or Croatia.


Croatia 1, Ghana 0 - An almost certainly already eliminated Ghana needed a massive result but couldn't get it done and will end up knocked out after losing to a Croatia team that will certainly hope to get into the knockouts.


Final Table:

  1. England 9 (+5)

  2. Panama 5 (+1)

  3. Croatia 4 (-1)

  4. Ghana 1 (-5)


Third-Place Table


Final Table:

  1. Germany 4 (+2)

  2. Morocco 4 (+1)

  3. Paraguay 4 (0)

  4. Croatia 4 (-1)

  5. Bosnia and Herzegovina 4 (-1)

  6. Japan 3 (0)

  7. Algeria 3 (0)

  8. Uzbekistan 3 (-2)

-----------------------------------------------

  1. Cape Verde 3 (-2)

  2. South Africa 2 (-1)

  3. Iran 2 (-3)

  4. Senegal 1 (-2)


Round of 32


Ivory Coast 3, Paraguay 1 - The battle between two teams that probably weren't predicted to be playing each other in a knockout game goes to the ultimate dark horses.


France 1, Japan 0 - Japan just doesn't have enough in them to make another World Cup run as they are taken down by tournament favorites France in the first knockout round.


Canada 2, Czechia 1 (aet) - This seems like a gift of a path for Canada to the Round of 16 and they take full advantage by beating a lazy Czechia, though it does take extra time.


Scotland 2, Sweden 2 (p. 4-2) - The inconsistencies come back to haunt the Swedes as they bow out to a surprisingly strong Scotland who's into the Round of 16 on penalties.


Portugal 3, Panama 0 - Portugal puts up a full display of talent as they take advantage of the favorable draw to knock off surprise Panama.


Spain 0, Austria 0 (p. 2-1) - It takes everything Spain has to just barely get past Ralf Ragnick and Austria on the final penalty of the shootout and continue their trophy hunt.


Turkey 2, Bosnia 0 - A solid win for the Turks takes them into a first Round of 16 since their semifinal run in 2002 and knocks out the Bosnians in their first appearance since 2014.


Germany 3, Belgium 1 - A horrible turn of events from Belgium who topped their group but drew Germany in the first round of the knockouts and the weaknesses of the golden generation are embarrassed.


Netherlands 3, Brazil 1 (aet) - In a huge clash of the titans in the Round of 32 the Netherlands upset one of the tournament favorites Brazil and send them all the way home to secure their spot in the Round of 16.


Ecuador 0, Norway 0 (p. 3-2) - In another huge battle between dark horses the Ecuador defense completely locks down Norway's attack for two hours before putting away the Scandinavians on penalties.


Morocco 2, Mexico 0 - Morocco takes care of business against disappointed hosts Mexico and its home atmosphere to take the African side to the Round of 16 once again.


England 3, Uzbekistan 0 - England play yet another clean game, this time in the knockouts, to advance to a tasty showdown with Morocco and knock out the debutants.


Argentina 2, Uruguay 1 - Defending champions Argentina get through the Uruguayan defense just enough to expose Bielsa's flaws and knock out their fellow South Americans to advance to the Round of 16.


Australia 3, Egypt 2 (aet) - In the battle between two teams that have never won a knockout match before Australia comes out on top to set up a rematch of the 2022 Round of 16 with Argentina.


Switzerland 2, Algeria 0 - An incredible performance from dark horses Switzerland to get themselves past a tricky Algeria and end their run and to advance into the Round of 16.


Colombia 2, Croatia 1 - Colombia hold their nerve to fend off attacks from the deadly Croatian midfield and advance to the Round of 16 once again.


Round of 16


France 4, Ivory Coast 2 - France reverses the result of the friendly from just before the World Cup to move to yet another quarterfinal and end the run of dark horse Ivory Coast.


Canada 1, Scotland 0 - Superb Canada shocks the world to beat a lackluster Scotland and advance to a first ever World Cup quarterfinal on home soil.


Portugal 2, Spain 2 (p. 4-1) - Despite being labeled as one of the weaker favorites Portugal breaks through with a huge win over favorites Spain to launch themselves into the quarterfinals.


Germany 2, Turkey 0 - A nice victory for Germany to move to the quarterfinals of a World Cup for the first time since 2014 and end a young Turkey's run short.


Netherlands 1, Ecuador 0 - The Netherlands take advantage of their one opportunity against a stubborn Ecuadorian defense to advance to a second straight World Cup quarterfinal.


England 1, Morocco 0 (aet) - An excellent victory for England as they knock off Morocco to advance to the same quarterfinal stage they lost at in the 2022 World Cup.


Argentina 3, Australia 0 - A satisfied Australia once again doesn't have enough to deal with a talented Argentina side that storms its way to another quarterfinal.


Switzerland 2, Colombia 1 - Pure heartbreak for the Colombians who once again lose earlier in a World Cup than they'd like as Switzerland quietly takes care of business.


Quarterfinals


France 3, Canada 1 - France does what they need to with the easiest match of the quarterfinals to take down home nation Canada in a maiden quarterfinal.


Germany 3, Portugal 1 (aet) - Germany piles on the goals in extra time to advance to the semifinals of a World Cup for the first time in twelve years and end Ronaldo's dream.


England 0, Netherlands 0 (p. 2-1) - The Three Lions do what is needed in their quest for a first World Cup since 1966 and take down the Dutch to reach a first semifinal since 2018.


Switzerland 1, Argentina 0 - Switzerland stun the final South American team in the competition to eliminate the defending champions and move to a first ever World Cup semifinal.


Semifinals


Germany 2, France 2 (p. 3-2) - In a huge shock Germany takes out defending finalists and World Cup favorites France to advance to a first final in twelve years and move one match away from being crowned champions.


England 3, Switzerland 1 - England beat underdogs and dark horses Switzerland to advance to their first World Cup final since their title in 1966 and send the Swiss to the third-place match.


Third-Place


France 4, Switzerland 1 - France smash Switzerland to earn their bronze medal and end their 2026 World Cup campaign on a win.


Third-Place


England 2, Germany 0 - IT'S COMING HOME!!! Not that I want it, but England have truly finally put all of the talent together into a World Cup-winning team and Thomas Tuchel beats his own nation to win the Three Lions a first World Cup in 60 years.



 
 
 

"His career was finished without the intervention of the late Jules Bianchi who said to Ferrari you’ve got to take this guy, you’ve got to make sure he gets to Formula 1. And what a gift that was to give. In 2017, Charles Leclerc lost his father and in his final days, he told his father a white lie. That he’d made it to Formula 1; that he’d signed the contract. It wasn’t true then but his driving has made it true now, and look what he’s done with the opportunity. The grandstands he saw built as a kid growing up now rise for him and for the first time in 93 years this fabled race is won by one of their own. Charles Leclerc wins the Monaco Grand Prix..."


This is the only quote that sends shivers down my spine. It may not for you, but having seen the race live, this commentary of the 2024 Monaco Grand Prix is special. And now, Ferrari have a chance to give Charles a shot at achieving his great dream once again.


What has transpired this season so far?


I wanted to give a little bit of time before restarting the predictions since this season has been so entertaining and so unpredictable. I know you may say, "well...Mercedes has won all five Grand Prix and Kimi has won the last four races," but to that, I say, "Well, there have been four teams that have had drivers solidly in the lead of a race, and the season has changed so much on a race-to-race basis, not even to mention the DNFs and strategy errors that have turned potential wins into failures."


This seems like the perfect race to pick back up. Charles Leclerc is the favorite in his home race, and we finally get to see what this grid will look like without Acitve Aero. It may not be a good thing, but it's a change and we will have a different type of race. For all of the complaining about "mario kart" racing, this weekend will be a true test of deploying the smallest amount of energy available in history and pure driving skill.


Will Kimi and George continue to fight for the lead in the Drivers', or will one or both of the Ferrari drivers begin a charge towards the coveted title and gain the team massive points in the Constructors'? These are the big questions heading into Monaco, and with Mercedes's worse engine and worse car in the corners, this is Ferrari's big chance to get back in the race. Who will win the Monaco Grand Prix?



FP1 and FP2 Breakdown


The last time I wrote a F1 prediction article, this section was pretty much useless. But the variation and sandbagging has gone, and we now have a clear breakdown of which teams and drivers are likely to perform well in qualifying, which will be more important than ever around the streets of Monaco this year.


Free Practice 1 brought a few changes to the typical pecking order we've seen all season between the teams. Ferrari topped the time sheet with a Leclerc-Hamilton 1-2, and Red Bull's Verstappen stole third over Mercedes's Antonelli and then Russell, with Verstappen's teammate Hadjar a full ten places behind him. McLaren were the next-best team but Audi were the fifth best constructor in the session with Hulkenberg in seventh to split the McLarens and Bortoletto in ninth. Alpine's Gasly rounded out the top ten of the session with the Williams pair right behind, and Cadillac's Perez posted one of his best results of the season with the 14th best time.


Free Practice 2 mainly reinforced the trends seen in the first session. Hamilton took Leclerc's spot at the top of the time sheet by just over a tenth of a second, and Verstappen again took third from the Mercedes pair with his teammate Hadjar in sixth. McLaren's Piastri landed seventh but his teammate Norris just barely avoided the barriers and ended with the 19th best time. Audi confirmed their speed for the weekend in eighth and ninth while Hass's Ollie Bearman jumped into the tenth spot, pushing Gasly and the Williams pair down a spot to 11th through 13th. The Astons failed to recover in FP2 and are clearly the slowest car of the weekend, with Alonso again in 20th and Stroll once more in last.



Podium Predictions


Here are my predictions for the podium finishers at the 2026 Australian Grand Prix:


Australian Grand Prix


  1. Charles Leclerc (Ferrari) - The stars just have to align here. He's the fastest driver. He's the best qualifier on the grid at the race where qualifying matters most. He's in the fastest car for this race. He's the home favorite. So, it would take a disaster only Ferrari is capable of to stop Leclerc's win. I don't think it will happen. He has to win.


  2. Max Verstappen (Red Bull) - Verstappen should have what it takes to split the Ferraris at Monaco. He's super quick and has been able to drag what has clearly not been a fabulous car to superb results. After Hamilton snatched second at the last moment in Canada from Verstappen, I expect Verstappen to do the same at Monaco from Hamilton.


  3. Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari) - This seems like Lewis's big chance at a win, but I don't think he has what it takes anymore to compete with his younger teammate in a long, physical battle, and I wouldn't be surprised if Ferrari makes a bad strategy call that costs Lewis further time on track.



Five Spicy Hot Takes


Now, let’s spice things up with some bold hot takes for the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix, rated from 1 to 5 spicy pepper emojis:


  1. 🌶️ - Lance Stroll escapes last. I mean I don't think this is too outrageous to say with 21 other drivers circling the tight streets of Monaco almost eighty times. Hopefully for my predictions' sake the first to crash isn't Lance.


  2. 🌶️🌶️ - One Alpine outqualifies one major contender. Alpine doesn't look spectacularly quick this weekend, but this should definitely be possible. McLaren looks slow, and we never know which version of Isack Hadjar we will get. I could see Pierre Gasly outqualifying one of the three aforementioned cars once again.


  3. 🌶️🌶️🌶️ - Audi double points. No, I unfortunately won't be predicting another Hulk podium. However, with the speed of Audi's car this weekend through the corners, I think they can get some huge points and more than double their tally thus far this season.


  4. 🌶️🌶️🌶️🌶️ - A huge crash of contenders. Not sure if it will be a huge Ferrari crash, or more likely a huge Mercedes crash, but I think with the way the drivers have been racing and the narrowness of Monaco, we could be in for a huge double DNF between teammates.


  5. 🌶️🌶️🌶️🌶️🌶️ - A first point for Cadillac. You really never know. Perez is driving quite well in the car, although it clearly has reliability issues. But around Monaco, even with a bad car and no rain, all it takes is one spectacular qualifying lap to be in a points position for a large portion of the race. I say Cadillac may be able to get Perez into tenth with a nice strategy call this weekend.

 
 
 

Note: The article is quite long so I would recommend picking and choosing what you read based on which teams and matchups interest you. Full predictions are at the end.


Welcome to the First Four! The best time of the year is finally here. We made it through another season of college basketball. Now only sixty-seven incredible forty-minute thrillers stand between us and the crowning of a national champion. The question now is who? Who will storm the courts in the first round after making program history? Who will be the dark horse? Who are our cinderellas? Who will be in Indianapolis? And who will cut down the nets? These are the questions that millions of passionate and knowledgeable fans try and fail to answer every single year. And to help you better understand the bracket, let’s break down who to watch and stay away from, who is underseeded, which teams should be here and which should not, and which are in the most elite tier truly contending for the title. Let’s break it down by region, creating a tier list, identifying the most fascinating squads, and forecasting the madness of March.


First let’s define some things. The region favorites are, well, the region favorites. These are the teams that you and everyone else are likely picking to head to Indy and represent their region. These are the teams who have performed well all season, have the chemistry, and don’t have too many glaring weaknesses. Then there are the dark horses, who are likely underseeded, can go on a hot streak, and about whose potential we do not know. After this is the cinderellas, the mid- to low- =majors who have a secret weapon that can enable them to go on a run to the Sweet 16 or farther. The fourth section is the other top programs, the teams that aren’t as notable but in my opinion don’t have the special spark to reach the Final Four. And lastly is the teams that are happy to be here, the teams who realistically have no chance to win their first game, and definitely can’t reach the Sweet 16 or Elite Eight. I won’t write a section about every team, only the ones who are notable and who I think will be relevant to your bracket-making, but I will still categorize them. Without further ado, your number one overall seed…




East (Washington D.C.)


Region Favorites:


Duke

I had my hesitations about Duke, but the last month since their loss to North Carolina has convinced me otherwise. If center Patrick Ngongba and point guard Caleb Foster can both return, Duke can make a strong case for being the deepest team in the field...in addition to having the National Player of the Year in Cameron Boozer. Duke is rightfully first in NET, with seventeen quad one wins and a 15-0 record outside of quad one. The Blue Devils won't have it easy, with Ohio State or TCU waiting in the second round and St. John's or Kansas in the Sweet 16, but they have proved that they have enough depth to win games even when injured or when Boozer isn't putting up 23 points and 10 rebounds.


Connecticut

UConn has had some significant problems down the stretch, losing to Creighton and Marquette before being blown out for a second time in three matchups against St. John's in the Big East championship game. The NET doesn't love the Huskies, and neither do I, but that's partially due to the recent quad two and quad three losses that they recently added to their resume. Connecticut leaves a lot on the table offensively, but they have the eleventh best defense in the country and their entire starting lineup still averages double-digit points.


Michigan State

Michigan State once again finds itself as a de-facto favorite in their region. It may occur year-over-year because of Tom Izzo, or it may be because MSU continues to piece together a clutch and deep lineup. Despite his temper, the Spartans' point guard Jeremy Fears Jr. is one of the best players in the country and is also excellent at feeding his teammates the rock, evidenced by his over nine assists per game. Michigan State has one bad loss on their resume, to Minnesota, but the rest of the losses are all to teams seeded seven or better in March Madness and hold wins over Arkansas, Illinois, and Purdue.



Dark Horses:


UCLA

I wouldn't consider any of the teams seeded under five in this region to have any sort of dark horse credentials, and Louisville is a mess, so we begin with a team I believe to be drastically underrated, UCLA. The Bruins aren't loved by metrics, and that's their own fault after quad two losses to Indiana, Minnesota, and California, but they hold wins over four top ten teams. UCLA doesn't look amazing on paper, but they clearly got hot at just the right time, evidenced by their Big Ten tournament run, and should Donovan Dent (yes, him again) be healthy enough to play, the Bruins are a ginormous threat. It won't be easy with a matchup against UCF before taking on UConn, but if Dent can get healthy, UCLA can hang with anyone in their half of the region.


Ohio State

All four of the teams seeded seven to ten in this region are the strongest on their seed line, so it's extremely hard to choose who to put as the dark horses. However, I do think that Ohio State is a much more complete team than TCU and UCF. The Buckeyes have won almost all of their quad one games in the past month, including wins over UCLA, Purdue, Wisconsin, and in the Big Ten tournament, Iowa. Their eleven quad one losses would indicate that they have no chance against top teams, but there was something about the way they played against Michigan last week that convinced me they are a significant threat. If guards Thornton and Mobley Jr. can get hot, Ohio State can give Duke a run for their money.



Cinderellas:


South Florida

This region does not seem as though it will be kind to cinderella, and she may not find any footing for her slipper. However, South Florida is one of the best mid-majors in the nation at the moment and has a perfect matchup with Louisville. The Bulls have sneakily climbed the NET rankings and now sit at 45th in the nation. All five of their starters average at least ten points. They haven't had many chances to show off their star-power but do sport victories over tournament team Utah State and fellow top-tier American conference rival Tulsa on the road.


California Baptist

Do I think Cal Baptist can be a Sweet 16 squad? No. Do I think they could beat a power five team ten times out of one hundred? No. Do I think they could beat Kansas on any given night? Yes. The Lancers shouldn't be here (check out the ending of the WAC final if you haven't), but they are, and they take on the Jayhawks first. Cal Baptist has two quad two wins, against UC Irvine and Utah Valley in the WAC final. But I think they have cinderella potential more because of their opponent than because of their own stats. Cal Baptist has been remarkably consistent: they're 18-0 in quad four games. Kansas is the most inconsistent team in the country: they have 20+ point wins over the best teams in the country, and a 20+ point loss to a team that missed the tournament. So, which Kansas will we get on Friday?



Missing that spark:


Kansas

St. John's

Louisville

Texas Christian

Central Florida



Straight to Cancun:


Northern Iowa

North Dakota St.

Furman

Siena



West (San Jose)


Region Favorites:


Arizona

There's a reason these Wildcats were the number one team in the entire country for the majority of the year: there truly are no glaring weaknesses. Since its two losses by a combined seven points to Kansas and Texas Tech, Arizona has been on a rampage, destroying UCF and holding off Iowa State and Houston to win the Big 12. Arizona is deservedly top-three in the NET, KenPom, and just about every other rating that accurately analyzes college basketball. It will take a monumental performance to knock out Arizona, a team with seven players scoring nine points per game or more. Look to Arizona's three point shot selection and accuracy to knock them out if they ever lose.


Purdue

The Boilermakers haven't been on my radar for long; I didn't believe in them at the start of the season, any time in the middle of the season, or even at the end of the regular season. But, I can see their status as at least contenders after a critical win in the Big Ten championship game against Michigan. It not only boosted Purdue back up to the two-seed line (with an arguably easier draw than their replacement Michigan State) but also allowed them a chance to show why they're underrated. Purdue has ten wins over quad one tournament teams, but bad losses to Iowa State, Indiana, and Ohio State prevent me and others from picking them to go all the way.


Arkansas

I am COMPLETELY invested in this Arkansas squad. I'm really not sure why. I didn't even think Calipari's Razorbacks were going to make it out of their first game last year, let alone the first weekend. But there was something about the end of the season and the SEC tournament run that put Arkansas square in the middle of my brain as a huge contender. The Razorbacks, backed by star freshman point guard Acuff, have multiple wins over Vanderbilt and knocked off Texas Tech on a neutral court and Tennessee earlier this season. As long as Acuff is healthy and averaging 23-7-3, Arkansas has the firepower to go toe-to-toe with anyone, and may be the only team capable of knocking out Arizona early.



Dark Horses:


Wisconsin

Speaking of extremely dangerous to Arizona during the second week, the Badgers have proven that they can beat every team in the country. They may not be loved by the metrics, and that's due to multiple losses outside of quad one, but Wisconsin has beaten UCLA, Purdue, Michigan, Michigan State and twice Illinois. For a team barely in the top-25 of any metrics, that's quite the resume. And in March, your ceiling matters just as much as your floor. Lead by elite guard play by Boyd and Blackwell, Wisconsin must prepare itself for a tight high-scoring first round matchup with High Point, but should they get through, the Badgers can cause problems for Arkansas or Arizona.


Utah State

Other than the two losses to UNLV, the Aggies have very few blemishes on their resume. They only sport one win over teams in the field, but were very consisten in non-conference play, only losing to fellow tournament team South Florida. Despite siding down the seed line (they were projected to be a seven seed) and struggling at the tail end of the regular season, a strong Mountain West tournament run with a championship win over San Diego State reinforced expectations. They'll need to rely on their defense against Villanova, as they only have two players averaging over ten points per game. I expect their run to end against Arizona, but the top mid-major can surprise.



Cinderellas:


North Carolina State*

The Wolfpack have been quite cold, barely surviving ACC fodder Pittsburgh before being crushed by Virginia in the ACC tournament quarterfinals, but their form all year has been convincing enough. Quad one wins over North Carolina, Clemson, and Southern Methodist are highlights on a resume that otherwise includes four quad two losses and a horrible quad four loss to Georgia Tech. However, the reason the Wolfpack have been locked into the touranment for the entirety of the month thus far is their wins over bubble foes, and I expect them to at least take out similarly-cold Texas. Multiple wins in the tournament will be difficult with their BYU first-round draw, but this is NC State, and if you've watched college basketball for a couple of years, you'll know what that means.


*Texas is my replacement if they defeat NC State on Wednesday night


Hawaii

Hawaii has in my opinion the worst possible first-round draw: Arkansas. A team that could otherwise easily on a cinderella run has a near-impossible task ahead of it. The Rainbow Warriors haven't beaten a single team in the top two quads, but have been solid with a 14-6 record in-conference and a revenge win over UC Irvine in the Big West championship game. They were within ten points of both Oregon and Arizona State, and beat UC Irvine twice, so time will tell whether they can pick things up in their first quad one game of the season and pull off a huge shock.



Missing that spark:


Gonzaga

Bringham Young

Miami (FL)

Villanova

Missouri


Straight to Cancun:


Texas*

High Point

Kennesaw State

Queens

Long Island



Midwest (Indianapolis)


Region Favorites:


Michigan

These Wolverines have been one of the national title favorites since their dominant run through the Players' Era Championship in Vegas in November, and the three losses along the way have done little to dampen expectations. Michigan has a wild seventeen quad one wins and beat two of the three teams it lost to this season. A forty point win over Gonzaga, thirty point win over Auburn, and conference wins over Nebraska, UCLA, Wisconsin, Illinois and two wins over Michigan State highlight arguably the best resume in the country, and if Lendeborg is healthy, the Wolverines should find their way to Indianapolis with relative ease.


Iowa State

These Cyclones have had Final Four potential for years, but haven't even been able to get to a regional final. Could this be the year? They have a winning record in quad one, beat Kansas, Houston, Texas Tech, and Purdue while they were in the top ten, and hung on to Arizona in the Big 12 tournament only to lose on a Kawhi-like buzzer-beater. The Cyclones have to rely on Momcilovic, Jefferson, and Limpsey, but should have a size and paint advantage over everyone they encounter until Virginia. The big test would be in the Sweet 16 against the aforementioned Cavaliers, but if they stick to the game plan and move the ball well, Iowa State can match up with Michigan for a spot in Indianapolis.


Virginia

As a Duke fan, I regret to inform you that I believe Virginia has a chance to get to the final four...BUT, they could also crumble in the second round against Tennessee. This is the most complete group of Cavaliers since their national title run in 2019, and it shows. They reached the ACC tournament final with huge wins over NC State and Miami before falling just so short to the Blue Devils. Virginia has shot up the rankings and seed lines to land at a three seed, but have yet to prove they can beat top non-ACC opponents. That will be necessary in the cases of a second round showdown with Tennessee or a Sweet 16 matchup with Iowa State. If they play like they did in the loss to Butler, the Cavaliers don't stand a chance, but if they play like they did on Saturday and top shot blocker Onyenso is putting in his work, Virginia could find itself in Indy.



Dark Horses:


Tennessee

The Vols definitely fit the description of being a dark horse. They're severely looked over and underrated, and having to come back to beat Auburn before bowing out to Vanderbilt in the SEC tournament won't help their case. Tennessee, like the Virginia team they will likely see in the second round, is volatile, and can win or lose any game any day. Tennessee's loss to Syracuse and multiple losses to Kentucky stick out like a sore thumb on its resume, but the Vols beat Vanderbilt in their regular season matchup, Alabama, and earned a massive win over Houston in non-con play. Gillespie and Ament may need to carry, but I wouldn't be surprised if the Vols make it deeper than expected.


Saint Louis

This is an extremely difficult and risky pick, but Saint Louis still seems as though it could make some sort of run. They are easily the worst pick in any 8-9 first round matchup, but their opponents Georgia are also cold and the Billikens are a mid-major, meaning we don't truly know their ceiling. Saint Louis is very deep, with seven players averaging over nine points, and holds crucial quad one wins on their resume over fellow mid-major tournament squads Santa Clara and VCU. The atrocious slide at the end of the year and the losses against Rhode Island, George Mason, and Dayton have the Billikens hurting, but they may be a solid pick for an unexpected run.



Cinderellas:


Santa Clara

I truly believe that this region is the only region with the potential for pure chaos. And that starts with this Broncos team, which was so good this season that it forced the selection committee to take three West Coast Conference teams. Santa Clara has one bad loss to Loyola Marymount, but other than that has only lost to power-five Arizona State and quad one opponents. They also hold two wins over fellow tournament team and conference-mate Saint Mary's and were within ten points of beating Gonzaga all three times they faced off, including a nine point loss in the WCC championship after leading for the entire first half. The Broncos are a very strong rebounding team, and should go down to the wire with Kentucky. If they can prove themselves in the first round, they should be able to gain confidence and make a run, where I can see them hitting their ceiling during the second weekend.


Akron

The Zips have been overshadowed the entire season. When you're in the same conference as the only undefeated team in the country, you're bound to lose the majority of the attention. However, Akron has been the best team in the Mid-American Conference all season, losing only a tight game to Miami (OH) in conference play before winning the MAC tournament on a championship-winning three over Toledo. The Zips haven't yet won a quad one or quad two game this season, but lost by three to Miami (OH), three to Yale, and less than twenty to Purdue. Akron has a huge rebounding force in Lyles to go against a Texas Tech team missing their star center JT Toppin. Similar to how Clemson collapsed against McNeese last year in the first round, I could see a similar fate allowing Akron to advance. And if Hofstra has enough three-point firepower to get past Alabama, the Zips should be headed to the Sweet 16, where their run would likely end.



Missing that spark:


Alabama

Texas Tech

Kentucky

Georgia

Southern Methodist

Miami (OH)



Straight to Cancun:


Hofstra

Wright State

Tennessee State

UMBC

Howard



West (San Francisco)


Region Favorites:


Florida

After a rough start featuring losses that have aged very well to Arizona, Duke, Connecticut, and even TCU, Florida completely flipped the switch in conference play. The Gators have a strong case to be the top team in the entire country in 2026, though their destruction at the hands of Vanderbilt in the Southeastern Conference tournament semifinals is worrying. However, Florida had an almost unblemished run through an SEC that sent ten teams dancing, (and almost two more) featuring wins over tournament Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Arkansas, Georgia, Texas, Texas A&M, Alabama, and a whopping three wins over Kentucky. The Gators may encounter foes Vanderbilt once again in the Sweet 16 and must be ready to take revenge, but the true test will come in a rematch of last year's national championship with Houston in the Elite 8. If the Gators can get hot enough to reach Indianapolis, they have more than enough star power and depth to power their way to back-to-back titles.


Houston

The Cougars have come oh-so-close, but is this finally the year for Kelvin Sampson and Houston? The Big 12 tournament was inspiring for those looking to pick Houston, as the Cougars were able to stack up a win against BYU, a complete domination of Kansas, and almost came back in the championship game against Arizona before falling by five. Houston may have six losses, but has yet to lose to a team outside of the top twenty and is still not appreciated enough by the public. Saint Mary's would be a tough draw in the second round, but a typically inconsistent Illinois shouldn't pose much of a threat, meaning the Cougars would supposedly get another shot at Florida in the Big Dance, this time with a trip to Indianapolis on the line. Houston has played close games all year against top teams and sports wins over Arkansas, Texas Tech, BYU, and Kansas, but will need guards Flemings and Sharp to be in top form to lead the team to a long-awaited championship.


Vanderbilt

The Commodores should not be a good basketball program, but they are back dancing and had the best start to a Vanderbilt season in history. The metrics love Vanderbilt, powered by a high-caliber offense that has scored 105 points multiple times against top teams and a strong group of rebounders that allows anyone on the court to fight for the ball off the glass. The Commodores will have to avoid losses to lower-seeded teams, which they may be prone to after losses to SEC bubble teams Oklahoma, Missouri, and Texas. But, Vanderbilt is hot despite the SEC tournament championship game loss to Arkansas with recent victories over Tennessee (twice) and Florida.



Dark Horses:


Saint Mary's

All three West Coast Conference representatives are going to be threats this March, but Saint Mary's may be the most underrated. Saint Mary's holds one of the top mid-major wins over Gonzaga, and only has one loss early in the season to Boise State outside of quad one. Despite a disappointing loss to Santa Clara in the WCC tournament semifinals, Saint Mary's has been remarkably consistent all year and the Gaels have proven they can outscore (93 points against Seattle) or out-defend (59 points allowed to Gonzaga) any team in the nation. The starting lineup is very solid led by forward Murauskas and guards Lewis and Dent, and Saint Mary's could pose unexpected problems for Houston and foes beyond if the Gaels get past Texas A&M in round one.


Iowa

These Hawkeyes might be the best nine seed this year, and despite going cold at the worst possible time, should be able to pose a threat in a second rounder against Florida. Even with losses to Minnesota, Maryland, and Penn State, Iowa clearly has a high ceiling. The Hawkeyes have beaten Ohio State, UCLA, and hold a top ten win over Nebraska. Some of their losses are also encouraging in quad one, with a four point loss to Iowa State, a seven point loss to Purdue, and a three point loss to Michigan. If Iowa can figure out how to win close games against top teams, the Hawkeyes could reasonably make a run, but don't count on it; Florida's still the favorite in that one, and Saint Mary's is the better dark horse.



Cinderellas:


Virginia Commonwealth

VCU has a prime opportunity this year to make a long-awaited repeat run in March Madness. Can they make the Final Four again? I don't know about that. But can they create chaos? Certainly. The Rams are very hot and have shed their blown lead to Saint Louis that cost them the A-10 regular season title. They held off Duquesne before dominating Saint Joe's and Dayton to secure themselves a spot in the dance. VCU has a couple of questionable losses, but form typically seems to be the biggest factor and these Rams have a ton of it. All but one loss the Rams have are against tournament teams and a matchup against a North Carolina team without star Wilson works in their favor. VCU has to work hard on the glass against UNC, but should they get by defensively, they have a serious chance against inconsistent Illinois in the second round and may have a path if Saint Mary's is able to take out Houston.


Troy

The final team to talk about is the Trojans. They were gifted pretty much the easiest possible path through the Sun Belt tournament, earning quad four wins over Southern Miss and Gerogia Southern, but have a remarkable resume. Despite only playing four games in quads one and two, Troy is 3-1, with victories over Akron and at UAB, an overtime win at San Diego State, and a one-point overtime loss at Southern Cal. Troy was gifted the perfect first-round draw as a 13-seed against Nebraska, who has gotten colder as the Trojans have heated up. If you're looking for this year's thirteen over four upset, this is likely your best pick (followed by Hofstra over Alabama) with a deep Troy lineup primed to take advantage of Nebraska's weak rebounding.



Missing that spark:


Illinois

Nebraska

North Carolina

Clemson

Texas A&M



Straight to Cancun:


McNeesse State

Pennsylvania

Idaho

Lehigh

Prarie View A&M



Predictions in Full:


First Four:

16 UMBC 78, 16 Howard 64

11 NC State 68, 11 Texas 67

16 Lehigh 69, 16 PVA&M 45

11 SMU 76, 11 Miami (OH) 60


East:

1 Duke 89, 16 Siena 71

8 Ohio State 97, 9 TCU 93

5 St. John's 86, 12 Northern Iowa 70

4 Kansas 75, 13 California Baptist 68

11 South Florida 81, 6 Louisville 77

3 Michigan State 77, 14 North Dakota St. 54

7 UCLA 78, 10 UCF 75

2 Connecticut 84, 15 Furman 54


1 Duke 76, 8 Ohio State 75

4 Kansas 72, 5 St. John's 65

3 Michigan State 80, 11 South Florida 67

7 UCLA 76, 2 Connecticut 69


1 Duke 85, 4 Kansas 66

3 Michigan State 69, 7 UCLA 60


1 Duke 78, 3 Michigan State 73


South:

1 Florida 89, 16 Lehigh 52

9 Iowa 76, 8 Clemson 71

5 Vanderbilt 88, 12 McNeese 64

4 Nebraska 77, 13 Troy 72

11 VCU 69, 6 North Carolina 58

3 Illinois 91, 14 Pennsylvania 84

7 Saint Mary's 71, 10 Texas A&M 60

2 Houston 82, 15 Idaho 50


1 Florida 79, 8 Iowa 77

5 Vanderbilt 78, 4 Nebraska 72

11 VCU 83, 3 Illinois 69

2 Houston 73, 7 Saint Mary's 70


1 Florida 80, 5 Vanderbilt 73

2 Houston 69, 11 VCU 60


2 Houston 77, 1 Florida 71


West:

1 Arizona 71, 16 Long Island 43

8 Villanova 63, 9 Utah State 57

5 Wisconsin 99, 12 High Point 87

4 Arkansas 85, 13 Hawaii 78

6 BYU 74, 11 NC State 64

3 Gonzaga 79, 14 Kennesaw St. 50

7 Miami (FL) 65, 10 Missouri 62

2 Purdue 89, 15 Queens 76


1 Arizona 83, 8 Villanova 65

4 Arkansas 98, 5 Wisconsin 94

3 Gonzaga 73, BYU 71

2 Purdue 75, 7 Miami (FL) 64


4 Arkansas 87, 1 Arizona 79

2 Purdue 67, 3 Gonzaga 63


4 Arkasnas 93, 2 Purdue 80


Midwest:

1 Michigan 79, 16 Howard 41

9 Saint Louis 60, 8 Georgia 55

12 Akron 83, 5 Texas Tech 69

13 Hofstra 97, 4 Alabama 87

6 Tennessee 68, 11 SMU 60

3 Virginia 73, 14 Wright St. 56

10 Santa Clara 76, 7 Kentucky 58

2 Iowa State 68, 15 Tennessee St. 59


1 Michigan 85, 9 Saint Louis 60

12 Akron 79, 13 Hofstra 68

3 Virginia 67, 6 Tennessee 64

2 Iowa State 77, 10 Santa Clara 71


1 Michigan 69, 12 Akron 68

3 Virginia 84, 2 Iowa State 78


1 Michigan 80, 3 Virginia 70



Final Four:

2 Houston 70, 1 Duke 64

1 Michigan 81, 4 Arkansas 73


2 Houston 74, 1 Michigan 65



 
 
 
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